Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 4.992405 5.417848 5.880453 6.424028 7.049426 7.751544 8.606750
2025-05-25 4.206908 4.765556 5.416274 6.242140 7.280327 8.568098 10.330298
2025-06-01 3.739390 4.352373 5.098812 6.096721 7.432500 9.218285 11.902410
2025-06-08 3.468329 4.124797 4.953368 6.110130 7.745067 10.084414 13.933351
2025-06-15 3.295219 3.993042 4.902078 6.221984 8.185011 11.186795 16.612116
2025-06-22 3.030818 3.714747 4.623148 5.975031 8.052750 11.374097 17.787020
2025-06-29 2.831849 3.506628 4.418772 5.807346 8.008285 11.680575 19.258959
2025-07-06 2.666271 3.331205 4.244012 5.661898 7.972989 11.985818 20.819122
2025-07-13 2.560535 3.230563 4.166149 5.652582 8.153856 12.704483 23.546948
2025-07-20 2.495167 3.181361 4.157326 5.746837 8.518976 13.842708 27.819161
2025-07-27 2.455388 3.165159 4.194383 5.915654 9.037427 15.412015 34.238991
2025-08-03 2.401820 3.124950 4.190980 6.015186 9.440421 16.840530 41.398917
2025-08-10 2.322377 3.047554 4.133102 6.031315 9.716535 18.138913 49.826489
2025-08-17 2.202375 2.904508 3.965018 5.843320 9.563858 18.368022 54.355973
2025-08-24 2.104218 2.789510 3.834342 5.710046 9.506143 18.837797 60.827004
2025-08-31 2.043969 2.728954 3.786866 5.722001 9.758916 20.246784 75.116558
2025-09-07 2.005717 2.699882 3.788104 5.822995 10.225101 22.477346 101.590086
2025-09-14 1.909747 2.576403 3.625753 5.599852 9.913883 22.160141 106.610534
2025-09-21 1.833123 2.480420 3.504898 5.448053 9.753528 22.313963 117.646779
2025-09-28 1.765045 2.395335 3.398306 5.316195 9.624875 22.549285 131.397233
2025-10-05 1.722912 2.349720 3.356280 5.307744 9.797119 23.938081 169.555095
2025-10-12 1.699184 2.332356 3.361378 5.393218 10.219678 26.499339 260.283862
2025-10-19 1.687315 2.333393 3.398093 5.546126 10.849085 30.349851 516.319665